BLOOMINGTON, Ind. — A publication tied to Indiana University’s Kelley School of Business forecasts the state’s economy will expand in 2019 by a healthy 3.2 percent.

The (Northwest Indiana) Times reports Tuesday that the author of the forecast is an associate professor of finance at Indiana University-Purdue University Columbus, Ryan Brewer. Brewer says the state will see the strongest growth in the first quarter of 2019.

But the Indiana Business Review also warns that unpredictability in international trade, as well as labor shortages and effects of “weaning off of inexpensive credit” could change things.